Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.154627 3.392562 3.649427 3.949070 4.291263 4.672608 5.133642
2026-02-01 2.714655 3.018438 3.365535 3.797039 4.327272 4.969069 5.823684
2026-02-08 2.422309 2.744013 3.123641 3.613664 4.243635 5.048103 6.193012
2026-02-15 2.264319 2.605697 3.019810 3.572279 4.312178 5.305782 6.815716
2026-02-22 2.121179 2.470151 2.902486 3.494302 4.313286 5.459846 7.303882
2026-03-01 1.982809 2.329299 2.765320 3.373884 4.237551 5.487120 7.592514
2026-03-08 1.851459 2.188914 2.618462 3.226701 4.106485 5.412044 7.694450
2026-03-15 1.788829 2.133151 2.578311 3.221275 4.176324 5.645754 8.358158
2026-03-22 1.728709 2.076868 2.533128 3.203754 4.223952 5.846731 9.001896
2026-03-29 1.671941 2.021850 2.485923 3.178785 4.255906 6.023007 9.634914
2026-04-05 1.661712 2.028340 2.523024 3.278617 4.491682 6.577892 11.196277
2026-04-12 1.622583 1.993204 2.499199 3.284395 4.574028 6.869333 12.270190
2026-04-19 1.676360 2.094304 2.683211 3.637539 5.309002 8.601435 18.036038
2026-04-26 1.586012 1.988597 2.559744 3.494158 5.154694 8.504846 18.604366
2026-05-03 1.498974 1.883809 2.432162 3.334811 4.954108 8.272965 18.628320
2026-05-10 1.450410 1.832186 2.381526 3.298409 4.978998 8.551751 20.665395
2026-05-17 1.397528 1.772026 2.314763 3.229937 4.934597 8.661264 22.171663
2026-05-24 1.339017 1.701525 2.229068 3.123938 4.806615 8.547129 22.682305
2026-05-31 1.278096 1.625634 2.132298 2.993975 4.620926 8.264169 22.290395
2026-06-07 1.250737 1.598141 2.109083 2.989175 4.685281 8.626517 25.358883
2026-06-14 1.222574 1.568390 2.080911 2.973672 4.725903 8.937481 28.610098
2026-06-21 1.194561 1.537877 2.050177 2.951567 4.750296 9.211311 32.119266
2026-06-28 1.192240 1.545640 2.080182 3.039868 5.020819 10.269752 43.962242